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Market Update

………and like that, the decade came to an end.

Bushfires, a Royal Commission, Brexit, Trump v China and the Hong Kong turmoil - the year that was 2019. The global economy was rife with market changing events not limited to those mentioned.

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January 14, 2020
Category: Market Update
 


One of the topics asset allocators are grappling with at the moment is whether asset class valuations are expensive or not. Whether you’re an active asset allocator or an active bottom-up stock picker, valuation will most likely form the core or at least a significant part of your analysis when making a decision to enter or exit an investment. 

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November 6, 2019
Category: Market Update
 


It’s All About the Style – Value vs Growth

by Mark Causer & Jenny Josling (Managing Director, Orbis Australia - Orbis Global Equity)

When building investment portfolios for clients many aspects are considered.

For example we consider the different asset classes - Australian Equities, International Equities, Australian Fixed Interest, International Fixed Interest, Property to name a few.

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October 21, 2019
Category: Market Update
 


With an increasing focus in the market on how we are all building our client portfolios, it is incredibly important to have a strong and defendable investment framework in place. This investment framework consists of, but is not limited to, how we structure our investment committee, what our APL looks like, and where we get our research from. 

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September 30, 2019
Category: Market Update
 


It’s a challenging time for asset allocators in the current environment, which has seen asset prices and market sentiment shift quickly on the back of a single tweet. Markets in July were generally strong across most assets, but August has seen a re-emergence of trade tensions between the US and China. More importantly we have seen the yield curve invert with the 10-year US treasury falling below the 2-year treasury for the first time since 2007, which, as you may recall from the text books, has historically been an indicator of economic weakness.

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August 26, 2019
Category: Market Update
 


It’s been an eventful month for markets – the Coalition won the federal election in a surprise upset, the RBA cut rates to record lows, and US-China trade tensions re-emerged with a vengeance. Domestic markets reacted positively to the Coalition win, with some of the pessimism surrounding the housing market subsiding. The RBA’s rate cut was not unexpected, with most analysts having already priced in the cut and potentially another.

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July 2, 2019
Category: Market Update
 


Markets continued their upward trajectory during April which has largely continued unabated since the so called ‘Powell put’ earlier in the year, with the US Fed chair signalling a pause to further rate hikes. However, market volatility has picked up as the US-China ‘trade war’ has been reignited as the US seeks to precent Chinese telecom manufacturer Huawei from accessing US suppliers. 

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May 29, 2019
Category: Market Update
 


It’s been an interesting period for risk assets over the past six months. The last quarter of 2018 saw markets retract as sentiment shifted away from risk assets, driven by fears of further rate rises in the US and a pullback in global growth. Roll forward to the March quarter of 2019 and it has been risk on for equities, with both Australian and global markets posting double-digit returns for the quarter.

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May 7, 2019
Category: Market Update
 


Equity markets have continued their upward trajectory, boosted by the Federal Reserve’s decision to place rate hikes on hold. But how long can markets remain placated? Despite the reprieve, key market risks remain, including a reduction in liquidity as central banks cease their quantitative easing programs, and tighter credit conditions, which have had a significant impact on those parts of the market supported by cheap debt and ample liquidity.

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March 27, 2019
Category: Market Update
 


A study by Cambridge University suggested that a ‘bad news day’ increased magazine circulation by as much as 30% and a ‘good news day’ resulted in a 66% decrease in readership – the latter being online material.

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March 4, 2019
Category: Market Update
 


Equity markets have continued their recovery through February, with the S&P 500 and S&P/ASX 300 both rising 5.2% in Australian dollar terms in the first three weeks of the month. This comes on the back of January’s gains of 4.5% and 2.6% respectively. In price terms, the US index has recovered from a sharp fall in December, while the ASX has clawed back nearly all losses suffered in the final quarter of 2018.

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March 4, 2019
Category: Market Update
 


2018 was marked by a notable increase in market volatility and a decline in global economic growth from its previous high in the first part of the year. This has been reflected in a pull-back in most equity markets and an increase in expected volatility.

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January 31, 2019
Category: Market Update
 


Markets have continued to experience volatility over the month. The US market in particular has experienced significant volatility with technology stocks facing the brunt of the turbulence. Until recently the tech sector was a significant driver of US market returns, making up over 20% of the S&P 500 Index.

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December 5, 2018
Category: Market Update
 


The October (Cause) and Effect

by Mark Causer and Chris Lioutas

As Mark Twain was famously quoted “history never repeats itself, but it rhymes” is ……for October 2018 past. I prefer the more recent lines from a Split Enz classic “history never repeats I tell myself before I go to sleep. Don’t say the words you might regret, I lost before, you know I can’t forget!”.  

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November 30, 2018
Category: Market Update
 


We are seeing signs of volatility returning to markets, which has been reflected in an increased divergence in returns between regions, sectors and securities alike. For some time, we have flagged that volatility in markets has been subdued, underpinned by a wave of liquidity being pumped into global economies by central banks in the form of quantitative easing (QE). We have seen bond yields trade at historic lows and the subsequent low interest rate environment has led to increasing debt levels among both corporates and households.

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November 4, 2018
Category: Market Update
 


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